Denver Post/9News/KOA
Statewide Tracking Survey
October 2002
| SURVEY FACTS |
- A tracking telephone survey conducted for Denver Post, 9News, KOA 850 News Radio by Ciruli Associates from October 21 to October 28 with 400 Colorado adult registered voters. Selection from a random sample of statewide registered voters who voted in the 2000 presidential election or are newly registered since November 2000. Respondents were screened to identify likely registered voters in this November election. A tracking survey methodology removes the first 100 respondents contacted (October 20) and substitutes the most recent 100 respondents contacted (October 28).
- Statistical range of accuracy in 19 out of 20 cases is ±4.9 percentage points for a sample size of 400. Sample tolerances for subgroups are larger. For example, the confidence interval for a subgroup of 200 respondents is ±6.9 percentage points.
- Due to rounding, not all totals equal 100 percent. Survey results can be affected by other factors such as question wording and order.
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| . |
SCREEN QUESTIONS
Mark party registration
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Oct. 21 |
Oct. 22 |
Oct. 23 |
Oct. 24 |
Oct. 25 |
Oct. 26 |
Oct. 27 |
Oct. 28 |
| Democrat |
35% |
32% |
34% |
34% |
35% |
36% |
36% |
35% |
| Republican |
43% |
41% |
40% |
43% |
41% |
41% |
40% |
40% |
| Unaffiliated |
21% |
26% |
25% |
22% |
23% |
22% |
23% |
24% |
| Other |
- |
- |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
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U.S. Senate Race
2. This November 2002 there will be an election for U.S. Senate here in Colorado. If the election were held today would you vote for Democrat Tom Strickland, Republican Wayne Allard, Rick Stanley of the Libertarian Party or for some other third party candidate? Rotated
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Oct. 21 |
Oct. 22 |
Oct. 23 |
Oct. 24 |
Oct. 25 |
Oct. 26 |
Oct. 27 |
Oct. 28 |
Oct. 29 |
Oct. 30 |
Oct. 31 |
Nov. 1 |
| Strickland |
38% |
37% |
36% |
36% |
37% |
38% |
39% |
39% |
39% |
40% |
41% |
42% |
| Allard |
41% |
41% |
42% |
44% |
42% |
41% |
40% |
41% |
42% |
41% |
41% |
41% |
| Rick Stanley (L) |
2% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
3% |
| “Dayhorse” Campbell (AC) |
- |
0.3% |
0.3% |
0.3% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
Other (vol)
|
4% |
4% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Won’t vote (vol) |
0.4% |
- |
0.3% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
0.3% |
1% |
0.3% |
0.3% |
0.3% |
| Don’t know/refused |
14% |
15% |
16% |
15% |
14% |
16% |
14% |
14% |
13% |
13% |
13% |
12% |
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[top]
Governor Race
3. Next, let me ask you about the Colorado governor’s election. If the November 2002 election for governor were held today would you vote for Democrat Rollie Heath, Republican Bill Owens or for a third party candidate? Rotated
|
Oct. 21 |
Oct. 22 |
Oct. 23 |
Oct. 24 |
Oct. 25 |
Oct. 26 |
Oct. 27 |
Oct. 28 |
Oct. 29 |
Oct. 30 |
Oct. 31 |
Nov. 1 |
| Rollie Heath |
21% |
24% |
26% |
25% |
25% |
27% |
24% |
24% |
22% |
25% |
26% |
26% |
| Bill Owens |
64% |
59% |
59% |
62% |
62% |
60% |
61% |
60% |
63% |
62% |
62% |
62% |
| Ralph Shnelvar (L) |
1% |
1% |
0.3% |
- |
- |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Ron Forthofer (G) |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Charles Van Layton (I) |
- |
0.3% |
0.3% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Other (vol)
|
3% |
3% |
2% |
2% |
1% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Won’t vote (vol) |
0.4% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
0.3% |
1% |
0.3% |
0.3% |
0.3% |
0.3% |
| Don’t know/refused |
11% |
11% |
11% |
10% |
11% |
8% |
11% |
11% |
10% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
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[top]
Ballot Issue Tracking Results
|
Oct. 21 |
Oct. 22 |
Oct. 23 |
Oct. 24 |
Oct. 25 |
Oct. 26 |
Oct. 27 |
Oct. 28 |
Oct. 29 |
Oct. 30 |
Oct. 31 |
Nov. 1 |
Bilingual (Amendment 31) |
| - Support |
49% |
37% |
35% |
36% |
35% |
34% |
34% |
39% |
40% |
40% |
44% |
40% |
| - Oppose |
41% |
43% |
46% |
49% |
51% |
53% |
54% |
48% |
46% |
48% |
46% |
47% |
| - Don’t know |
11% |
20% |
19% |
15% |
14% |
13% |
12% |
13% |
14% |
12% |
10% |
13% |
Limit contributions (Amendment 27) |
| - Support |
65% |
54% |
52% |
55% |
55% |
56% |
58% |
56% |
57% |
54% |
55% |
54% |
| - Oppose |
20% |
25% |
26% |
25% |
24% |
24% |
22% |
24% |
24% |
27% |
26% |
27% |
| - Don’t know |
15% |
21% |
22% |
20% |
21% |
20% |
20% |
20% |
19% |
19% |
19% |
19% |
Mail in ballot (Amendment 28) |
| - Support |
56% |
43% |
41% |
40% |
43% |
42% |
42% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
48% |
50% |
| - Oppose |
35% |
38% |
40% |
41% |
40% |
41% |
42% |
40% |
42% |
43% |
40% |
38% |
| - Don’t know |
9% |
19% |
19% |
19% |
17% |
17% |
16% |
16% |
15% |
13% |
12% |
12% |
End D.A. term limits (Referendum B) |
| - Support |
41% |
38% |
36% |
34% |
36% |
33% |
34% |
35% |
35% |
36% |
40% |
36% |
| - Oppose |
47% |
42% |
44% |
46% |
43% |
47% |
44% |
42% |
43% |
42% |
40% |
44% |
| - Don’t know |
12% |
20% |
20% |
20% |
21% |
20% |
22% |
23% |
22% |
22% |
20% |
20% |
Election day registration (Amendment 30) |
| - Support |
38% |
29% |
29% |
29% |
34% |
31% |
36% |
40% |
39% |
42% |
40% |
38% |
| - Oppose |
55% |
58% |
60% |
59% |
55% |
56% |
52% |
50% |
52% |
51% |
53% |
55% |
| - Don’t know |
6% |
12% |
11% |
12% |
11% |
13% |
12% |
10% |
9% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
End caucus (Amendment 29) |
| - Support |
45% |
29% |
31% |
28% |
29% |
28% |
29% |
29% |
30% |
32% |
31% |
32% |
| - Oppose |
29% |
32% |
30% |
35% |
34% |
36% |
36% |
32% |
33% |
34% |
35% |
38% |
| - Don’t know |
26% |
39% |
39% |
37% |
37% |
36% |
35% |
39% |
37% |
34% |
34% |
30% |
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[top]
Ratings
As I read the following list of political leaders and candidates, please tell me your impression of each one as either very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable. If you aren’t familiar with a name, or don’t have an opinion, just say so. Rotated
|
|
Favorable |
|
July 14 |
Oct. 21 |
Oct. 22 |
Oct. 23 |
Oct. 24 |
Oct. 25 |
Oct. 26 |
Oct. 27 |
Oct. 28 |
Oct. 29 |
Oct. 30 |
Oct. 31 |
Nov. 1 |
| Allard |
65% |
54% |
47% |
49% |
50% |
50% |
52% |
50% |
51% |
52% |
51% |
52% |
52% |
| Strickland |
58% |
49% |
45% |
45% |
42% |
44% |
43% |
40% |
43% |
44% |
46% |
46% |
49% |
|
|
Unfavorable |
| Allard |
19% |
36% |
37% |
35% |
36% |
36% |
36% |
38% |
37% |
35% |
35% |
35% |
35% |
| Strickland |
17% |
34% |
34% |
36% |
38% |
39% |
44% |
44% |
41% |
39% |
37% |
36% |
36% |
|
October 28 |
| . |
Very
Favorable |
Somewhat
Favorable |
Somewhat
Unfavorable |
Very
Unfavorable |
No
Opinion |
Don't know |
U.S. Senator Wayne Allard
|
24% |
27% |
19% |
18% |
10% |
2% |
Former U.S. Attorney Tom Strickland
|
17% |
26% |
22% |
19% |
12% |
4% |
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[top] |
