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Republican incumbents Gov. Bill Owens and U. S. Sen. Wayne Allard are still outpacing Democrat challengers going into the November 2002 election season. But opponents Rollie Heath (governor) and Tom Strickland (U.S. Senate) have gained support. A July 2002 Ciruli Associates poll asked voters how they would vote if the election were held today:
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
This November 2002 there will be an election for U.S. Senate here in Colorado. If the election were held today and the candidates for U.S. Senate were Democrat Tom Strickland and Republican Wayne Allard, for whom would you vote? (Rotated)
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July ‘02 |
Jan. ‘02 |
June ‘01 |
| Allard |
46% |
51% |
42% |
| Strickland |
37% |
35% |
42% |
| Other (vol) |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Don’t know/refused |
16% |
13% |
15% |
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| U.S. Senate Race and Party Identity |
|
Total |
Rep. |
Unaff. |
Dem. |
| Allard |
46% |
74% |
38% |
14% |
| Strickland |
37% |
12% |
34% |
73% |
| Don’t know/refused |
16% |
13% |
28% |
11% |
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| U.S. Senate Race and Party Identity |
|
Total |
Metro Area |
No. Front Range |
So. Front Range |
Eastern Plains |
Western Plains |
| Allard |
46% |
41% |
52% |
56% |
46% |
49% |
| Strickland |
37% |
43% |
30% |
32% |
25% |
26% |
| Don’t know/refused |
16% |
14% |
17% |
12% |
21% |
22% |
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Next let me ask you about the Colorado governor’s election. If the November 2002 election for governor were held today and the candidates were Democrat Rollie Heath and Republican Bill Owens, for whom would you vote? (Rotated)
| . |
July ‘02 |
Jan. ‘02 |
June ‘01 |
| Bill Owens |
56% |
59% |
54% |
| Rollie Heath |
28% |
19% |
20% |
| Other (vol) |
1% |
1% |
0.4% |
| Don’t know/refused |
15% |
21% |
26% |
|
|
|
|
| Governor Race and Party Identity |
|
Total |
Rep. |
Unaff. |
Dem. |
| Owens |
56% |
81% |
52% |
25% |
| Heath |
28% |
9% |
25% |
55% |
| Don’t know/refused |
15% |
10% |
22% |
20% |
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| SURVEY FACTS |
- Telephone survey conducted by Ciruli Associates from July 8 to July 14, 2002.
- Telephone survey of 601 Colorado adult registered voters likely to vote in the November 2002 general election. Selection from a random sample of statewide registered voters who voted in the 2000 presidential election or are newly registered since November 2000. Respondents were screened to identify likely registered voters in this November election.
- Statistical range of accuracy in 19 out of 20 cases is ±4.0 percentage points for a sample size of 601. Sample tolerances for subgroups are larger. For example, the confidence interval for a subgroup of 300 respondents is ±5.6 percentage points.
- Due to rounding, not all totals equal 100 percent. Survey results can be affected by other factors such as question wording and order.
- Two other 9News/Denver Post surveys are referenced: June 25 to 28, 2001, 452 likely voters and January 23 to 31, 2002, 600 likely voters.
- Ciruli Associates is a non-partisan research firm providing polling, election analysis and political commentary to Colorado and national media organizations since 1976.
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