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Political Survey - Statewide Partisan Elections
October 13, 1998

Telephone survey conducted October 1 to October 10, 1998 for 9-KUSA News, KOA 850 Radio and the Denver Post.

  • Conducted by Ciruli Associates

  • Telephone survey of 600 Colorado adults, 480 of whom are registered voters and 407 of whom are likely voters in Colorado selected by random digit dialing with random sample of statewide area telephone exchanges.

  • Statistical range of accuracy in 19 out of 20 cases is ±4.0 percentage points for a sample size of 600, ±4.5 percentage points for a sample of 480 and ±4.9 percentage points for 407 likely voters.

  • Due to rounding, not all totals equal 100 percent.


The Issues and the Environment

In November of this year, Colorado will elect a new governor. What would you say is the most important problem for the next governor to deal with in Colorado?

Growth (sprawl/development/too many people/crowding) 31%
Education/money (more money, more teachers/smaller class size) 18%
Transportation (congestion/traffic/roads) 12%
Crime/gangs/violence 7%
Education/reform (more choice/higher standards) 5%
Economy (keep economy going) 3%
Moral decline in general 2%
High taxes 2%
Environment (air/water pollution) 2%
Water shortage 1%
Lack of political leadership 0.3%
Lack of moral political leadership 0.1%
Other 4%
Don't know 10%

Do you think the work government in general is doing is making your own life better, worse or has no effect on you?

Better 30%
Worse 21%
No effect 42%
Don't know 7%

Looking ahead a year from now, do you expect your family's financial situation to be better than it is now, worse than it is now or about the same as it is now? . Better 42%
Worse 10%
No effect 46%
Don't know 2%

Ratings

As I read the following list of political leaders and candidates, please tell me your impression of them whether you think very favorably of them, somewhat favorably, you are neutral, you think somewhat unfavorably or very unfavorably of them. If you aren't familiar with them, or don't have an opinion, just say so.

Very
Fav.
Smwht.
Fav.
Neutral
Smwht.
Unfav.
Very
Unfav.
No
Opinion
Don't
Know/
NA
President Bill Clinton 14% 22% 13% 10% 36% 4% 1%
Lt. Governor Gail Schoettler 12% 25% 15% 9% 6% 20% 13%
U.S. Senator Ben Nighthorse Campbell 24% 35% 11% 11% 9% 7% 3%
Independent Counsel Ken Starr 12% 11% 14% 13% 35% 10% 4%
Hillary Clinton 21% 25% 15% 14% 15% 8% 2%
Governor Roy Romer 20% 33% 8% 14% 14% 7% 2%
State Treasurer Bill Owens 11% 21% 17% 8% 6% 23% 14%
Dottie Lamm 14% 25% 16% 11% 9% 17% 8%

Ratings Summary
Favorable
Unfavorable
Don't
Know/
NA
U.S. Senator Ben Nighthorse Campbell 59% 20% 10%
Governor Roy Romer 53% 28% 9%
Hillary Clinton 46% 29% 10%
Dottie Lamm 39% 20% 25%
Lt. Governor Gail Schoettler 37% 15% 33%
President Bill Clinton 36% 46% 5%
State Treasurer Bill Owens 32% 14% 37%
Independent Counsel Ken Starr 23% 48% 14%

Political Effect

President Clinton has recently campaigned to raise funds for fellow Democrat candidates in state and federal races. If President Clinton campaigns for Democrat candidates this fall, will it make you more likely to vote for the Democrat candidates in the November elections, make you less likely to vote for the Democrats or have no effect on your vote in November?

Total Democrat Unaffiliated Republican
More likely to vote for Democrats 9% 21% 4% 1%
Less likely to vote for Democrats 18% 5% 17% 41%
No effect 70% 74% 77% 58%
Don't know 3% 1% 1% -

Voter Registration

Are you registered to vote in the State of Colorado?

Yes 88%
No 11%
Don't know 1%

Likely Voters

As you know, there are many reasons why people cannot vote or choose not to vote in state and local elections. What do you think are the chances that you will vote in this November's election? Are you almost certain to vote, are you very likely to vote, but not certain, will you probably vote, or are the chances 50/50 or less that you will vote?

Almost certain 78%
Very likely to vote 10%
Probably vote 5%
50/50 or less 6%
Not sure/haven't decided 2%

Party Politics

Considering political parties, would you say you usually identify yourself as a:

Registered
Voters
Strong Democrat 14%
Moderate Democrat 21%
An unaffiliated voter 30%
Moderate Republican 21%
Strong Republican 11%
Other 2%
Don't know 1%

Registered
Voters
Likely
Voters
Democrat 35% 34%
Unaffiliated 30% 29%
Republican 32% 35%

For All Voters

In the U.S. Senate race between Democrat Dottie Lamm and Republican Ben Nighthorse Campbell, whom would you vote for today: Lamm or Campbell?

Registered
Voters
Likely
Voters

Democrat

Unaffiliated

Republican

Male

Female
Lamm 33% 33% 65% 27% 5% 30% 36%
Campbell 53% 54% 26% 47% 88% 56% 51%
Other 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1%
Won't vote 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0.4%
Don't know 12% 11% 8% 23% 6% 12% 12%

In the Governor's race between Republican Bill Owens and Democrat Gail Schoettler, whom would you vote for today: Owens or Schoettler?

Registered
Voters
Likely
Voters

Democrat

Unaffiliated

Republican

Male

Female
Schoettler 40% 40% 71% 40% 9% 39% 42%
Owens 39% 40% 14% 27% 78% 45% 33%
Other 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 0.4%
Won't vote 0.4% 0.2% - 1% - 0.4% 0.4%
Don't know 20% 19% 15% 32% 14% 15% 25%

In the Colorado Attorney General race between Republican John Suthers and Democrat Ken Salazar, whom would you vote for today: Suthers or Salazar?

Registered
Voters
Likely
Voters
Suthers 22% 23%
Salazar 32% 31%
Other 0.4% 1%
Democrat 45% 45%

In the Colorado State Treasurer race between Democrat Jim Polsfut or Republican Mike Coffman, whom would you vote for today: Polsfut or Coffman?

Registered
Voters
Likely
Voters
Polsfut 21% 21%
Coffman 30% 31%
Won't vote 0.4% 1%
Don't know 48% 48%

In the Colorado Secretary of State race between Republican Victoria Buckley and Democrat Ric Bainter, whom would you vote for today: Buckley or Bainter?

Registered
Voters
Likely
Voters
Buckley 26% 27%
Bainter 34% 35%
Don't know 39% 38%

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