Political Survey - Statewide Partisan Elections
October 13, 1998
Telephone survey conducted October 1 to October 10, 1998 for 9-KUSA News, KOA 850 Radio and the Denver Post.
- Conducted by Ciruli Associates
- Telephone survey of 600 Colorado adults, 480 of whom are registered voters and 407 of whom are likely voters in Colorado selected by random digit dialing with random sample of statewide area telephone exchanges.
- Statistical range of accuracy in 19 out of 20 cases is ±4.0 percentage points for a sample size of 600, ±4.5 percentage points for a sample of 480 and ±4.9 percentage points for 407 likely voters.
- Due to rounding, not all totals equal 100 percent.
The Issues and the Environment
In November of this year, Colorado will elect a new governor. What would you say is the most important problem for the next governor to deal with in Colorado?
Growth (sprawl/development/too many people/crowding) |
31% |
Education/money (more money, more teachers/smaller class size) |
18% |
Transportation (congestion/traffic/roads) |
12% |
Crime/gangs/violence |
7% |
Education/reform (more choice/higher standards) |
5% |
Economy (keep economy going) |
3% |
Moral decline in general |
2% |
High taxes |
2% |
Environment (air/water pollution) |
2% |
Water shortage |
1% |
Lack of political leadership |
0.3% |
Lack of moral political leadership |
0.1% |
Other |
4% |
Don't know |
10% |
Do you think the work government in general is doing is making your own life better, worse or has no effect on you?
Better |
30% |
Worse |
21% |
No effect |
42% |
Don't know |
7% |
Looking ahead a year from now, do you expect your family's financial situation to be better than it is now, worse than it is now or about the same as it is now? |
. |
Better |
42% |
|
Worse |
10% |
|
No effect |
46% |
|
Don't know |
2% |
Ratings
As I read the following list of political leaders and candidates, please tell me your impression of them whether you think very favorably of them, somewhat favorably, you are neutral, you think somewhat unfavorably or very unfavorably of them. If you aren't familiar with them, or don't have an opinion, just say so.
|
Very
Fav.
|
Smwht.
Fav. |
Neutral
|
Smwht.
Unfav.
|
Very
Unfav.
|
No
Opinion
|
Don't
Know/
NA |
President Bill Clinton |
14% |
22% |
13% |
10% |
36% |
4% |
1% |
Lt. Governor Gail Schoettler |
12% |
25% |
15% |
9% |
6% |
20% |
13% |
U.S. Senator Ben Nighthorse Campbell |
24% |
35% |
11% |
11% |
9% |
7% |
3% |
Independent Counsel Ken Starr |
12% |
11% |
14% |
13% |
35% |
10% |
4% |
Hillary Clinton |
21% |
25% |
15% |
14% |
15% |
8% |
2% |
Governor Roy Romer |
20% |
33% |
8% |
14% |
14% |
7% |
2% |
State Treasurer Bill Owens |
11% |
21% |
17% |
8% |
6% |
23% |
14% |
Dottie Lamm |
14% |
25% |
16% |
11% |
9% |
17% |
8% |
Ratings Summary |
|
|
|
|
Favorable
|
Unfavorable
|
Don't
Know/
NA |
U.S. Senator Ben Nighthorse Campbell |
59% |
20% |
10% |
Governor Roy Romer |
53% |
28% |
9% |
Hillary Clinton |
46% |
29% |
10% |
Dottie Lamm |
39% |
20% |
25% |
Lt. Governor Gail Schoettler |
37% |
15% |
33% |
President Bill Clinton |
36% |
46% |
5% |
State Treasurer Bill Owens |
32% |
14% |
37% |
Independent Counsel Ken Starr |
23% |
48% |
14% |
Political Effect
President Clinton has recently campaigned to raise funds for fellow Democrat candidates in state and federal races. If President Clinton campaigns for Democrat candidates this fall, will it make you more likely to vote for the Democrat candidates in the November elections, make you less likely to vote for the Democrats or have no effect on your vote in November?
|
Total |
Democrat |
Unaffiliated |
Republican |
More likely to vote for Democrats |
9% |
21% |
4% |
1% |
Less likely to vote for Democrats |
18% |
5% |
17% |
41% |
No effect |
70% |
74% |
77% |
58% |
Don't know |
3% |
1% |
1% |
- |
Voter Registration
Are you registered to vote in the State of Colorado?
Yes |
88% |
No |
11% |
Don't know |
1% |
Likely Voters
As you know, there are many reasons why people cannot vote or choose not to vote in state and local elections. What do you think are the chances that you will vote in this November's election? Are you almost certain to vote, are you very likely to vote, but not certain, will you probably vote, or are the chances 50/50 or less that you will vote?
Almost certain |
78% |
Very likely to vote |
10% |
Probably vote |
5% |
50/50 or less |
6% |
Not sure/haven't decided |
2% |
Party Politics
Considering political parties, would you say you usually identify yourself as a:
|
Registered
Voters
|
Strong Democrat |
14% |
Moderate Democrat |
21% |
An unaffiliated voter |
30% |
Moderate Republican |
21% |
Strong Republican |
11% |
Other |
2% |
Don't know |
1% |
|
Registered
Voters
|
Likely
Voters
|
Democrat |
35% |
34% |
Unaffiliated |
30% |
29% |
Republican |
32% |
35% |
For All Voters
In the U.S. Senate race between Democrat Dottie Lamm and Republican Ben Nighthorse Campbell, whom would you vote for today: Lamm or Campbell?
|
Registered
Voters
|
Likely
Voters
|
Democrat
|
Unaffiliated
|
Republican
|
Male
|
Female
|
Lamm |
33% |
33% |
65% |
27% |
5% |
30% |
36% |
Campbell |
53% |
54% |
26% |
47% |
88% |
56% |
51% |
Other |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
- |
1% |
1% |
Won't vote |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
0.4% |
Don't know |
12% |
11% |
8% |
23% |
6% |
12% |
12% |
In the Governor's race between Republican Bill Owens and Democrat Gail Schoettler, whom would you vote for today: Owens or Schoettler?
|
Registered
Voters
|
Likely
Voters
|
Democrat
|
Unaffiliated
|
Republican
|
Male
|
Female
|
Schoettler |
40% |
40% |
71% |
40% |
9% |
39% |
42% |
Owens |
39% |
40% |
14% |
27% |
78% |
45% |
33% |
Other |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
- |
1% |
0.4% |
Won't vote |
0.4% |
0.2% |
- |
1% |
- |
0.4% |
0.4% |
Don't know |
20% |
19% |
15% |
32% |
14% |
15% |
25% |
In the Colorado Attorney General race between Republican John Suthers and Democrat Ken Salazar, whom would you vote for today: Suthers or Salazar?
|
Registered
Voters
|
Likely
Voters
|
Suthers |
22% |
23% |
Salazar |
32% |
31% |
Other |
0.4% |
1% |
Democrat |
45% |
45% |
In the Colorado State Treasurer race between Democrat Jim Polsfut or Republican Mike Coffman, whom would you vote for today: Polsfut or Coffman?
|
Registered
Voters
|
Likely
Voters
|
Polsfut |
21% |
21% |
Coffman |
30% |
31% |
Won't vote |
0.4% |
1% |
Don't know |
48% |
48% |
In the Colorado Secretary of State race between Republican Victoria Buckley and Democrat Ric Bainter, whom would you vote for today: Buckley or Bainter?
|
Registered
Voters
|
Likely
Voters
|
Buckley |
26% |
27% |
Bainter |
34% |
35% |
Don't know |
39% |
38% |
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